The Real Reason Democrats Are Panicking About Redistricting

One of the worst-kept secrets in the government is that pretty much all of the data we have is really just an estimate, at best. And that estimate is usually wrong. The approximate number of illegal aliens in this country has been locked at “11 million” for roughly 20 years, which is a pretty big clue that the number is a gigantic lie. And when we learned the other day that the jobs report was supposedly wrong (by hundreds of thousands of jobs), it was yet another indicator that the people who compile important data are, at a minimum, winging it. More likely, they’re committing fraud. This is all pretty obvious.

What you may not know, even though it’s a very big deal, is that the U.S. Census is just as inaccurate as every other government data dump. And this matters a great deal, because the Census determines how many seats each party receives in the House of Representatives. And as a result of a massive counting “error” that took place back in 2020, Democrats have several more seats in Congress than they actually deserve. To be clear, Democrats already receive a massive advantage in the Census, because illegal aliens are counted. But on top of that, the Census also added millions of phantom people to the tally.

No one really talks about this, but it’s very well-documented and uncontroversial. Even NPR ran a story admitting it. Here’s the chart they provided, which came directly from the U.S. Census Bureau. See if you notice anything about which states, in particular, were over-counted:

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2020 Post-Enumeration Survey. Credit: Koko Nakajima/NPR.

• Hawaii was over-counted by 6.8% (meaning, according to the Census Bureau, that “some people may have been counted in error or more than once”). 
• New York (population 19 million) was overcounted by 3.4%, which is something like 700,000 people (which just so happens to be the size of an entire congressional district). 
• Massachusetts was overcounted by 2.2%. 
• Minnesota was overcounted by 3.8%. 
• Delaware and Rhode Island were also overcounted. 

All of these states are dominated by Democrats, and most of them have a lot of electoral votes. By contrast, only two Republican states were overcounted — Utah and Ohio. And then look at the very long list of states where voters were under-counted. 

• Texas was under-counted by nearly 2%. 
• Florida by 3.5%. 
• Mississippi by 4%. 
• Tennessee by nearly 5%. 
• Arkansas by 5%.

These discrepancies are not normal. In fact, in the 2010 census, the Bureau found that zero states were under-counted or over-counted. But in 2020, all of a sudden, the Census was extremely inaccurate. And what do you know? The inaccuracy benefited Democrats in Congress, because they picked up several seats they didn’t deserve. But when he was asked about this, the Census director stated, “No census is perfect.” In other words, deal with it. It’s just a fact of life that Democrats get a significant number of extra seats in Congress. See you at the next census in 10 years.

WATCH: The Matt Walsh Show

Whether you choose to believe that this census count was a “mistake” or not, it doesn’t really matter. The fact remains that Republicans have systematically been cheated out of representation in Congress. To be clear, I’m not talking about “gerrymandering,” which means drawing congressional maps so that you help your side, and hurt your opponent. That’s an inevitable part of the political process. After all, someone has to draw the maps at the end of the day. And it’s simply impossible to find a truly “non-partisan” person to do the job.

And if you doubt that, take a look at California, which supposedly has a “non-partisan” procedure for drawing districts. Republicans took 40% of the vote in California in the last election, but they won just 12 seats, while Democrats took home 40.

Additionally, gerrymandering is also completely legal, as long as you’re not drawing the lines specifically to exclude a specific racial group.

Instead, I’m talking about successful efforts by Democrats to cheat Republicans out of seats that they’re clearly entitled to, under the Constitution. That’s been going on for a very long time, thanks to the Census. And no one’s done anything about it.

That’s why, if I’m being honest, I can’t bring myself to care about Democrats’ recent complaints about what the state of Texas is doing to re-draw its congressional districts. The president has said that the GOP is “entitled to five more seats” in Texas. For his part, Texas’ governor has openly admitted that the new planned congressional map in Texas is political in nature, which again, is a normal part of the process. And in response, Democrat state legislators in Texas have fled the state (which prevents a vote on the new map). Meanwhile, other Democrat states are threatening to gerrymander their districts, in retaliation. Watch:

Credit: FOX 11/YouTube.com

There’s some honesty from Greg Abbott in that clip, which you don’t see very often from politicians. He just comes out and admits that, yes, Republicans are trying to gerrymander Texas on the basis of “political makeup.” And that makes sense. Every party does this. It’s both legal and rational to do so. So it’s time to stop pretending otherwise, and to stop imagining a world where one political party will voluntarily help another party get elected. That world doesn’t exist. 

If I had the patience to entertain any of the counter-arguments on this point, I’d point out how horribly disfigured all of the Democrats’ congressional maps are, compared to the planned map in Texas. I’d show you how Democrats, for years, have intentionally carved out absurd districts so that they dominate House races in states like Illinois and California. Here are the maps:

Credit: All maps via Wikimedia Commons.

As you can see, in addition to rigging the election in California, Democrats also manipulated the congressional maps in several other states. Illinois is a great example. Democrats currently have more than 80% of the House seats, despite Kamala Harris receiving only around 55% of the vote. Democrats also gerrymandered Oregon into oblivion. They won more than 80% of the House seats despite Kamala Harris barely getting over 50% of the vote, primarily by quadruple-counting the city of Portland. Meanwhile Democrats took home more than 70% of the House seats in New York despite winning only around 50% of the vote. And on and on.

None of this is surprising. Nor is it worth exploring in any great detail. Everyone knows this is going on. Democrats gerrymander all the time. So why would there be any outrage, whatsoever, about the fact that Republicans are doing the same thing? Why are Democrats, out of nowhere, in a frenzy about congressional districts?

That’s the really interesting question. And the answer involves the Voting Rights Act, which was passed in the 1960s, alongside other civil rights legislation. And just like other civil rights legislation, the point of the Voting Rights Act was never to ensure equality among the races. Instead, the objective was to grant special status to certain demographics — particularly black people — on the theory that, as Henry Rogers a.k.a. Ibram X. Kendi so eloquently put it — the only remedy to past discrimination is more discrimination. To that end, the Voting Rights Act has been used, for generations, to strike down congressional maps that don’t have enough so-called “majority-minority districts,” meaning districts where white people are in the minority. In other words, states have been forced, because of the Voting Rights Act, to create congressional districts where so-called “minorities” are in the majority — no matter how absurd the boundaries of that district might be. It goes without saying that, because black people vote for Democrats at an average rate of nine-to-one, this has been a massive, built-in political advantage for Democrats since the 1960s.

But that advantage may be gone soon. That’s because the Supreme Court has just agreed to hear a challenge to Louisiana’s new congressional map. This is a case that could upend the entire Voting Rights Act regime. Essentially, what happened is that Louisiana wanted to have a congressional map with only one majority-black district. They drew the map at the beginning of last year. Here’s what that map looked like.

Credit: Wikimedia Commons.

You’ll notice that the map looks pretty reasonable. At the very least, there are no extremely odd shapes. When they came up with this map, Louisiana claimed that they weren’t discriminating on the basis of race. But Democrats disagreed, because Louisiana is roughly one-third black, and there was only one majority-black district. Meanwhile, Louisiana maintained that it was drawing the district boundaries for political reasons (which, again, is legal). 

But a federal court disagreed, and ordered Louisiana to go back to the drawing board, and come up with more black-majority districts. Louisiana then added a second majority-black district. Here’s what the new map looked like. They added the district in light green, which snakes across the entire state.

Credit: Wikimedia Commons.

You can see, immediately, how much stranger this map is, as compared to the original. The light green district, in particular (which is District 6) stands out. It’s like a knife that cuts through the map. The new district doesn’t remotely take into account any natural features, like the Mississippi River or the Red River. It has a very odd shape. It spans hundreds of miles, across swamps and urban centers that have nothing in common with each other — whether it’s religion or economic interests or anything else. The only reason that this new district exists, very clearly, is to include as many black people as possible.

This is the madness that the Voting Rights Act has mandated, for many decades now. It’s a system that goes out of its way to disenfranchise white people, in the name of “civil rights” and racial justice.

But in a matter of months, this could all change.

That’s because a group of plaintiffs — who simply identify as “not black” — sued Louisiana over this new map, alleging that the Voting Rights Act, as it’s being applied, is unconstitutional. And a panel of judges on a separate federal court in Louisiana agreed, in a 2-to-1 opinion.

From their opinion: 

District 6 divides the four largest cities and metropolitan areas in its path along clearly racial lines. Among these are three of the four largest cities in Louisiana — i.e., Baton Rouge, Lafayette, and Shreveport. And the maps in the record are clear that the division of these communities is based predominantly on the location of majority-Black voting precincts.

Now the Supreme Court has agreed to hear arguments on this case, with a decision expected sometime next year. If they overturn the idea that the Voting Rights Act mandates the creation of majority-black districts, it’s an unmitigated disaster for Democrats. It would remove the single greatest weapon they have, in their effort to control the House of Representatives. That’s why JB Pritzker, Gavin Newsom, and other prominent Democrats are pretending to be outraged about “gerrymandering” and “redistricting” in places like Louisiana and Texas. They’re not concerned that Republicans are about to do the exact same thing that Democrats do, all the time. Instead, Democrats’ actual concern is that these states — and every other state — will come up with new congressional maps that don’t discriminate against white people.

These politicians won’t say that out loud, of course. But it’s pretty obvious if you listen to them for a few seconds. Here’s JB Pritzker, for example. He oversees one of the most gerrymandered states in the entire country. But in this clip, he’s outraged that Republicans are supposedly going to “silence” minority voters. Watch:

The governor of gerrymandered Illinois is lecturing about gerrymandering and praising obstructionist TX Democrats who fled their state, and his state is now harboring:

“This is a righteous act of courage!” pic.twitter.com/7mOiZv4cAR

— Western Lensman (@WesternLensman) August 4, 2025

Credit: @WesternLensman/X

The argument is that, by removing a racial quota system that arbitrarily benefits non-whites, Republicans are supposedly “silencing” minorities. It’s similar to the argument that merit-based hiring and merit-based school admissions policies are somehow bigoted. The moment you remove a race-based classification, Democrats complain that you’re trying to target a particular race. That’s one reason, among many, why no race-based classifications should ever exist, aside from the fact that it’s immoral. Once these kinds of classifications are granted, the demographic that benefits (and the political party that benefits) will never let you take it away.

It’s all extremely insulting. And yet, JB Pritzker is actually one of the saner Democrats to speak about this issue. The other day, Texas lawmaker Jolanda Jones — after fleeing to Illinois — compared the redistricting debate to the Holocaust. And Don Lemon nodded along. Watch:

Texas State Rep. Jolanda Jones, who fled the state to Illinois, compares redistricting to the Holocaust.

To the nodding approvals of Don Lemon. pic.twitter.com/Zj3AUnfkBN

— Greg Price (@greg_price11) August 5, 2025

Credit: @greg_price11/X

In case it’s not obvious, this is stupidity, but it’s also desperation. As far as the raw political calculus here, Democrats know they’re in trouble. 

This is from the New York Times the other day: 

In truth, Republicans may have more cards to play in an all-out redistricting war in 2026 than Democrats do. Republican leaders are looking to redraw maps in Missouri, Indiana and Ohio as well as Texas, and perhaps in more states as well. Vice President JD Vance plans to visit Indiana to discuss the push on Thursday, the state’s Republican governor, Mike Braun, told reporters on Tuesday. In the meantime, House maps and redistricting laws in Democratic states present significant hurdles. Illinois, for instance, is already so skewed to Democrats that flipping even one of the three Republican seats left would be extremely difficult for mapmakers.

You hate to see that. Democrats have already rigged the game so much that they’re out of options to do any more rigging. As a result, they’ve opted to shriek and confuse the issue as much as they possibly can. But the truth is pretty simple: Democrats have cheated in congressional elections for a very long time, using a variety of illegal and unethical procedures. And one by one — whether it’s the Voting Rights Act, or the “mistakes” in counting the Census, or the inclusion of illegal aliens in the Census — these pillars of Democrat power are under a full-frontal attack. The moment these pillars collapse — which could be very soon — the so-called “party of democracy” will face a crisis that could ultimately destroy the Democrat Party. They will finally discover, despite all of their efforts to muddle the issues and manipulate elections, what voters actually think of them.