The Democrats Have Big Problems. No Wonder Trump Is Smiling.

Democrats have some major problems.

We are about one year away from the midterm elections. It is worthwhile to note that in the RealClearPolitics polling average, Democrats right now are leading by roughly 1.6 points in the generic congressional vote, within the margin of error.

Every single poll over the course of the last month has the margin between Democrats up three points and Republicans up one point.

There are no polls showing Democrats with a significant advantage on the 2026 generic congressional ballot.

Just so you understand how these things stack up, in 2018, when Democrats had a great election, Democrats netted 40 seats in the House and took the House by a significant majority. The RealClearPolitics polling average had Democrats on Election Day in the generic congressional average up by 8.4 points.

Today, it’s more like 2022, when Republicans won nine seats, which was a very narrow victory. The RealClearPolitics polling average had Republicans up 2.8 points, and there are significantly fewer competitive battleground districts this time around, thanks to both redistricting and population movement.

According to Cook Political, there are effectively eight seats that are toss-up seats held by Republicans, but could theoretically move Democrat. There are ten Democrat toss-up seats, including seats in California, Maine, New York, Ohio and Texas.

This means it could be an unbelievably close election — at best — for Democrats. And there is the significant possibility that if redistricting occurs in Texas, the Republicans will retain the House.

Democrat chances right now are plummeting. Part of that is because they have no narrative whatsoever. They have major problems.

They trotted out their “No Kings” protest over the weekend. They got roughly seven million people to show up. But the salient point about gigantic mass protests like this is if they have no crossover appeal, it makes no difference at all.

If you look at the popular vote in 2024, you’ll notice that Kamala Harris won 75 million votes. Getting seven million Kamala Harris voters out into the streets to be angry at President Trump doesn’t mean anything. It’s less than 1/10 of the number of people who actually voted for Kamala Harris.

How many registered independents or Republicans were at the “No Kings” protest? The answer is: close to zero.

Thus, it’s just all performative outrage for the Democrats. They are hoping in the end that they have higher voter enthusiasm in 2026 than Republicans do. Evidence of that exists, but it is starting to wane.

There is some evidence that Democrats are animated to vote. In excess of 70% of Democrats are saying they are animated to vote in 2026; for Republicans the numbers are in the mid-50s, but those numbers are likely to close before the election.

The more performative Democrats look, the more they seem tired and gray and old and with nothing in the tank.

For example, there’s Nancy Pelosi, who’s now 176 years-old and remembers the Battle of Antietam in the Civil War. Well, she made a little video for social media where she broke a crown in order to show there were no kings. This is a lady who has been in Congress longer than most kings reign on their thrones and is worth over $100 million. And she is going to be talking about the oligarchs and the kings, dentures a-clacking?

MSNBC’s Nicolle Wallace, from the fan network for the “No Kings” rallies, said the thing about this opposition is that it’s “led by the people.” 

No, it’s not. It’s an opposition led by a bunch of grassroots astroturf organizations like labor unions and the Communist Party USA.

If you can find me ten people — we’re now doing the biblical story of Sodom and Gomorrah here — if you can find me ten people in the crowds who were registered Republicans and voted for Donald Trump in the last election cycle, I will be very, very surprised.

Rep. Jamie Raskin also tried to make all of this into some sort of gigantic popular uprising, saying, “This is right now the largest set of demonstrations that’s ever occurred in American history. I don’t know that there’s ever been seven million people who have assembled in unity against an administration that has been so determined to violate the civil rights and civil liberties of the people, usurp the powers of Congress, and trampled the Constitution as well as shut down the U.S. government.” 

The idea that this is a gigantic popular uprising is betrayed by the polls. There is no evidence that President Trump is in any serious trouble here. He seems to be absolutely Teflon right now.

Trump knows this, and he’s enjoying it. President Trump put out a viral video via Truth Social of him flying his poop jet over the rallies.

Meanwhile, Democrats legitimately can’t take a joke. Bernie Sanders — the only male “The View” will invite on their show — was outraged over President Trump’s fake AI poop bomb. He declared, “Trump may be crazy, and he may be a liar. … I don’t know what world these guys are living in; the president of the United States dropping feces on an American city.”

Hello? He didn’t literally drop feces on an American city. He put out an AI video that is legitimately hilarious.

The performative outrage is really something to watch.

Democrats are trying to create havoc with the government shutdown, and people are not panicked. They’re not feeling the havoc. It isn’t having much of an impact, as Harry Enten on CNN admitted, saying, “The bottom line is this: The first shutdown during Trump’s first term, 2018/2019, was hurting Donald Trump. This one is not hurting him at all.”

The reason it’s not hurting Trump is because Americans recognize that eventually the shutdown will come to an end, people will get their back pay, and that will be it.

The polls show that Democrats are not gaining any momentum from the shutdown. That’s because until five minutes ago, Democrats always opposed government shutdowns. They wanted the government to continue functioning and running no matter what.

So that’s a losing issue for them, too.

President Trump is having a great time.

And it looks as though it will continue for a while.

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