Virginia’s Redistricting Referendum Is a Scam Virginians Aren’t Buying

Democrats in Richmond, Va., want you to believe this April 21 special election is about “restoring fairness.” This would require an astonishing feat of mental gymnastics.

The party is pushing a constitutional amendment that would let them redraw Virginia’s congressional map from a competitive 6-5 split into a lopsided 10-1 Democrat stranglehold. Translation: gerrymander the Commonwealth into a one-party fiefdom and dare you to stop them.

My recent polling for Heritage Action reveals exactly what Democrats desperately hope stays buried. The numbers aren’t just ugly—they’re a requiem bell. And when you stack them against the early-voting snapshot Scott Presler highlighted this week, the picture is crystal clear: Virginians are onto the con, and they’re already voting like it.

Let’s start with the poll, because it’s the part voters won’t hear anywhere else. When we asked the straightforward question of whether gerrymandering congressional maps should be allowed, 76% of Virginians said “no.” That’s not shocking. What is shocking: 70% of Democrats said the same thing. Their own base thinks rigging the map is a bridge too far. And it gets worse.

Across parties, 87% of voters said maps should be drawn “for voters, not politicians.” Even more Democrats (89%) than Republicans (84%) agreed with this sentiment. And it seems there is only one Democrat politician in Virginia who has the pulse of the people.

This week on X, U.S. Senate candidate Mark Moran said he opposes the effort to gerrymander the congressional maps. He described the effort as “extremely anti-democratic” and a “reactionary policy to Donald Trump.”

Support for the measure is underwater despite pouring tens of millions of dollars into massive ad campaigns. Voters don’t like slick bait-and-switch games, and they can smell a California-funded scam from miles away. They know this sham will hand Democrats a 10-1 advantage and lock in gerrymandered district seats for decades.

Had they done an honest pulse check, Democratic politicians would have found that 70% of their own base think this is a bad tactic. And with voting underway, clear patterns are proving as much.

In a bombshell X post from Scott Presler, it was revealed that early votes from Republican-held congressional districts are outpacing Democrat strongholds by an 11-point edge. In a data vacuum, that would be stunning. But the polling adds important context: Democratic voters aren’t that interested in deceptive tactics that strip their neighbors of representation in Congress. Further, Republican voters are angry that inaccessible politicians are attempting to rob them of their voice in Washington. The facts are writing this amendment’s obituary, but the consultants don’t seem to be reading it.

Virginians in the places most threatened by this power grab are the ones flooding the early-vote centers. Presler’s numbers show Virginians are translating honest principles into ballots. The “restore fairness” sales pitch is collapsing in real time—before a single mail-in ballot tsunami or Election Day surprise. There is no way for the consultants to spin the comparative polling-to-turnout gut-punch.

Democrats control the governor’s mansion and both legislative chambers. They rammed this amendment through on party-line votes. They wrote the ballot language to sound anodyne. They’re banking on low information and lower turnout. But they miscalculated. Virginia’s voters are smart—and they don’t take kindly to being lied to.

Virginia has a chance on April 21 to send a message that resonates far beyond the Commonwealth: Voters—not politicians—should decide who represents them in Congress. The early-vote numbers say the message is landing. The poll numbers say it’s landing with devastating force. The data is in, the scam is exposed, and the only thing more insane than these numbers is thinking Virginians will fall for it.

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