Poll: GOP voters' lukewarm support for Iran strikes significantly lower than past conflicts

A Reuters/Ipsos poll that concluded on Sunday revealed that the joint U.S.-Israeli regime-change strikes are unpopular with most Americans.

While Republicans are apparently more supportive of the military campaign than their counterparts, the new poll found that such support is largely conditional and far less than for the Afghanistan and Iraq conflicts.

The new polling is consistent with surveys conducted last month, which indicated that Americans were not particularly keen on the prospect of a new series of U.S. military strikes against Iran.

For instance, an SSRS/University of Maryland poll, conducted from Feb. 5 to Feb. 9, found that 21% of respondents favored an attack, 49% were opposed, and 30% were unsure. An Economist/YouGov poll found that 28% of respondents supported and 48% opposed the U.S. taking military action in Iran.

Despite strong public headwinds, the U.S. joined Israel in hammering the Shiite nation anyway, destroying numerous military assets and assassinating top Iranian officials over the weekend while sustaining numerous casualties.

According to the new Reuters/Ipsos poll, 27% of respondents said that they approved of the strikes, 43% signaled disapproval, and 29% said they weren't sure.

'We expect casualties.'

Broken down by party affiliation:

• 55% of Republicans approved of the strikes, 32% said they were unsure or skipped the question, and 13% said they disapproved;
• 7% of Democrats said they approved, 19% said they were unsure or skipped the question, and 74% said they disapproved; and
• 19% of individuals in the "other" camp said they approved, 38% said they were unsure or skipped the question, and 44% said they disapproved.

The support for the present conflict pales in comparison to American support for the Iraq war prior to and following the March 20, 2003, invasion.

A poll conducted by the Washington Post and ABC News just prior to the invasion of Iraq found that 71% of Americans supported going to war. An Ipsos-Reid poll conducted in the two days leading up to the invasion found that roughly nine in 10 Republicans and half of Democrats supported going to war.

The Pew Research Center revealed days later that "support for the decision to go to war has remained steady at about seven-in-ten since the fighting began."

A total of 56% of respondents said that Trump "is too willing to use military force to advance U.S. interests." Nearly a quarter of Republicans — 23% — agreed with this statement.

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US Central Command

The poll found that 42% of Republicans would be less likely to support the military campaign against Iran if it leads to "U.S. troops in the Middle East being killed or injured."

U.S. Central command indicated that as of Monday morning, four American service members had been killed in action.

Six more service members were nearly killed on Sunday in an apparent friendly-fire incident in which three U.S. F-15E Strike Eagles were shot down over Kuwait. CENTCOM noted that all six aircrew personnel "ejected safely, have been recovered, and are in stable condition."

In an interview on Sunday with the New York Times, President Donald Trump discussed the casualties sustained so far in the conflict and suggested that there will likely be more.

"Three is three too many as far as I'm concerned," Trump said. "If you look at projections — they do projections — it, you know, it could be quite a bit higher than that."

"We expect casualties," Trump added.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll also found that 45% of respondents, including 34% of Republicans and 44% of independents, would be less likely to support the campaign if domestic gas or oil prices spiked.

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